Forecasting

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Forecasting is the process of making statements about events whose actual outcomes (typically) have not yet been observed. (Wikipedia.org)






Conferences related to Forecasting

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2017 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting

The annual IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting will bring together over 2000 attendees for technical sessions, student program, awards ceremony, committee meetings, and tutorials.


2013 8th International Forum on Strategic Technology (IFOST)

Strategic technologies including advanced materials, applied engineering sciences, information technologies, mechanical engineering, and so on.

  • 2012 7th International Forum on Strategic Technology (IFOST)

    International Forum on Strategic Technology is an annual academic conference and technical forum for researchers, engineers, industry representatives and policy planners.

  • 2011 6th International Forum on Strategic Technology (IFOST)

    1. Advanced Materials / Nano Technology 2. Renewable Energy / Smart Grid 3. Information Technology 4. E-vehicle / Green Car 5. Mechatronics 6. Others

  • 2010 International Forum on Strategic Technology (IFOST)

    a. e-Vehicle / Green Car b. New Materials c. Renewable Energy d. Smart Grid e. Bio-/Chemio-/Nano- Technology f. Other Strategic Technology

  • 2008 3rd International Forum on Strategic Technology (IFOST)

    New materials and technologies Nanotechnologies Information technologies Mechatronics and Automation Power engineering and resource-saving Environmental protection and conservancy

  • 2007 International Forum on Strategic Technology (IFOST)

    The International Forum organized under the main topic Power Engineering - Ecology will be carried out through the following sections: 1. Power Engineering 2. Mining Production and Metallurgy 3. Civil Engineering and Geo-Engineering 4. Information and Communication Technology 5. Ecosphere and Industrial Ecology

  • 2006 International Forum on Strategic Technology (IFOST) (Formerly known as KORUS)

  • 2005 Russian-Korean International Symposium on Science and Technology - (KORUS 2005)


2013 International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC)

Statistical Machine Learning, Intelligent & fuzzy control, Pattern Recognition , Ensemble method, Evolutionary computation, Fuzzy & rough set, Data & web mining , Intelligent Business Computing , Biometrics , Bioinformatics , Information retrieval, Cybersecurity, Web intelligence and technology, Semantics & ontology engineering, Social Networks & Ubiquitous Intelligence, Multicriteria decision making, Soft Computing, Intelligent Systems, Speech, Image & Video Processing, Decision Support System

  • 2012 International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC)

    Adaptive systems, Pattern Recognition, Biometrics, Inductive learning, Evolutionary computation, Bioinformatics, Data mining, Information retrieval, Intelligent agent, Financial engineering, Rough Set, Applications.

  • 2011 International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC)

    Adaptive systems, Neural net and support vector machine, Business intelligence, Hybrid and nonlinear system, Biometrics, Fuzzy set theory, fuzzy control and system, Bioinformatics, Knowledge management, Data and web mining, Information retrieval, Intelligent agent, Intelligent and knowledge based system, Financial engineering, Rough and fuzzy rough set, Inductive learning, Networking and information security, Geoinformatics, Evolutionary computation, Pattern Recognition, Ensemble method, Logistics.

  • 2010 International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC)

    Adaptive systems, Neural net and support vector machine, Business intelligence, Hybrid and nonlinear system, Biometrics, Fuzzy set theory, fuzzy control and system, Bioinformatics, Knowledge management, Data and web mining, Information retrieval, Intelligent agent, Intelligent and knowledge based system, Financial engineering, Rough and fuzzy rough set, Inductive learning, Networking and information security, Geoinformatics, Evolutionary computation, Pattern Recognition, Ensemble method, Logistics, Informat

  • 2009 International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC)

    Adaptive systems, Neural net and support vector machine, Business intelligence, Hybrid and nonlinear system, Biometrics, Fuzzy set theory, fuzzy control and system, Bioinformatics, Knowledge management, Data and web mining, Information retrieval, Intelligent agent, Intelligent and knowledge based system, Financial engineering, Rough and fuzzy rough set, Inductive learning, Networking and information security, Geoinformatics, Evolutionary computation, Pattern Recognition, Ensemble method, Logistics, Informat

  • 2008 International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC)

    Adaptive systems, Neural net and support vector machine, Business intelligence, Hybrid and nonlinear system, Biometrics, Fuzzy set theory, fuzzy control and system, Bioinformatics, Knowledge management, Data and web mining, Information retrieval, Intelligent agent, Intelligent and knowledge based system, Financial engineering, Rough and fuzzy rough set, Inductive learning, Networking and information security, Geoinformatics, Evolutionary computation, Pattern Recognition, Ensemble method, Logistics, Informat

  • 2007 International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC)

    Multiple themes included: Generalization Error Model for Pattern Classification, Rough Sets and Fuzzy Rough Sets, Multiple Classifier Systems, Computation Life Science and Bioinformatics, Media Computing, Web Intelligent Computing. Topics included: Adaptive systems, Neural nets and support vector machines, Business intelligence, Hybrid and nonlinear systems, Fuzzy theory, control and systems, Data and web mining, Information retrieval, intelligent agent etc.


2013 International Conference on Management Science and Engineering (ICMSE)

Management science and engineering, including operations research, organizational systems and behavior, economics and finance, and public administration.


2012 8th International Conference on Natural Computation (ICNC)

ICNC is an international forum on intelligent systems inspired from nature, particularly neural, biological, and nonlinear systems, with applications to signal processing, communications, biomedical engineering and more.

  • 2011 Seventh International Conference on Natural Computation (ICNC)

    ICNC is an international forum on intelligent systems inspired from nature, particularly neural, biological, and nonlinear systems, with applications to signal processing, communications, biomedical engineering, and more.

  • 2010 Sixth International Conference on Natural Computation (ICNC)

    ICNC is an international forum on intelligent systems inspired from nature, particularly neural, biological, and nonlinear systems, with applications to signal processing, communications, biomedical engineering, and more.


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Periodicals related to Forecasting

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Industry Applications, IEEE Transactions on

The development and application of electric systems, apparatus, devices, and controls to the processes and equipment of industry and commerce; the promotion of safe, reliable, and economic installations; the encouragement of energy conservation; the creation of voluntary engineering standards and recommended practices.


Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on

Requirements, planning, analysis, reliability, operation, and economics of electrical generating, transmission, and distribution systems for industrial, commercial, public, and domestic consumption.


Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part B, IEEE Transactions on

The scope of the IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics Part B: Cybernetics includes computational approaches to the field of cybernetics. Specifically, the transactions welcomes papers on communication and control across machines or between machines, humans, and organizations. The scope of Part B includes such areas as computational intelligence, computer vision, neural networks, genetic algorithms, machine learning, fuzzy systems, ...


Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C: Applications and Reviews, IEEE Transactions on

Applications, review, and tutorial papers within the scope of the Systems, Man and Cybernetics Society. Currently, this covers: (1) Integration of the theories of communication, control cybernetics, stochastics, optimization and system structure towards the formulation of a general theory of systems; (2) Development of systems engineering technology including problem definition methods, modeling, and stimulation, methods of systems experimentation, human factors ...




Xplore Articles related to Forecasting

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The Relationship Between Summer Weather and Summer Loads - A Regression Analysis

G. T. Heinemann; D. A. Nordmian; E. C. Plant IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1966

When summer air conditioning contributes significantly to an electric utility's system peak load, it is useful, for load forecasting purposes, to separate total system load into two components: temperature-sensitive load and nontemperature-sensitive load. Examination of historical data indicates that temperature-sensitive loads depend not only upon coincident but also antecedent weather conditions. Regression analysis techniques using a digital computer have shown ...


The Effects of Availability Upon Installed Reserve Requirements

A. K. Falk IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1966

The importance and effects of reliable forced outage and availability data upon installed capacity reserve requirements for an electric utility system are discussed. The effects are discussed in relationship to a utility system's ability to maintain equipment and to provide capacity to replace capacity which may be forced out of service due to emergency failures. No attempt is made to ...


Predicting Future High-Cost Patients: A Real-World Risk Modeling Application

Sai T. Moturu; William G. Johnson; Huan Liu 2007 IEEE International Conference on Bioinformatics and Biomedicine (BIBM 2007), 2007

Health care data from patients in the Arizona Health Care Cost Containment System, Arizona's Medicaid program, provides a unique opportunity to exploit state-of-the-art data processing and analysis algorithms to mine the data and provide actionable results that can aid cost containment. This work addresses specific challenges in this real-life health care application to build predictive risk models for forecasting future ...


Spatial scales of tropical precipitation inferred from TRMM microwave imager data

D. F. Smith; A. J. Gasiewski; D. L. Jackson; G. A. Wick IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 2005

The local spatial scales of tropical precipitating systems were studied using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) rain rate imagery from the TRMM satellite. Rain rates were determined from TMI data using the Goddard Profiling (GPROF) Version 5 algorithm. Following the analysis of Ricciardulli and Sardeshmukh (RS), who studied local spatial scales of tropical deep convection using global ...


A hybrid short-term solar power forecasting tool

J. M. Filipe; R. J. Bessa; J. Sumaili; R. Tomé; J. N. Sousa 2015 18th International Conference on Intelligent System Application to Power Systems (ISAP), 2015

Photovoltaic (PV) solar power capacity is growing in several countries, either concentrated in medium/large size solar parks or distributed by the medium and low voltage grid. Solar power forecasting is a key input for supporting grid management, participation in the electricity market and maintenance planning. This paper proposes a new forecasting system that is a hybrid of different models, such ...


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Educational Resources on Forecasting

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eLearning

The Relationship Between Summer Weather and Summer Loads - A Regression Analysis

G. T. Heinemann; D. A. Nordmian; E. C. Plant IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1966

When summer air conditioning contributes significantly to an electric utility's system peak load, it is useful, for load forecasting purposes, to separate total system load into two components: temperature-sensitive load and nontemperature-sensitive load. Examination of historical data indicates that temperature-sensitive loads depend not only upon coincident but also antecedent weather conditions. Regression analysis techniques using a digital computer have shown ...


The Effects of Availability Upon Installed Reserve Requirements

A. K. Falk IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1966

The importance and effects of reliable forced outage and availability data upon installed capacity reserve requirements for an electric utility system are discussed. The effects are discussed in relationship to a utility system's ability to maintain equipment and to provide capacity to replace capacity which may be forced out of service due to emergency failures. No attempt is made to ...


Predicting Future High-Cost Patients: A Real-World Risk Modeling Application

Sai T. Moturu; William G. Johnson; Huan Liu 2007 IEEE International Conference on Bioinformatics and Biomedicine (BIBM 2007), 2007

Health care data from patients in the Arizona Health Care Cost Containment System, Arizona's Medicaid program, provides a unique opportunity to exploit state-of-the-art data processing and analysis algorithms to mine the data and provide actionable results that can aid cost containment. This work addresses specific challenges in this real-life health care application to build predictive risk models for forecasting future ...


Spatial scales of tropical precipitation inferred from TRMM microwave imager data

D. F. Smith; A. J. Gasiewski; D. L. Jackson; G. A. Wick IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 2005

The local spatial scales of tropical precipitating systems were studied using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) rain rate imagery from the TRMM satellite. Rain rates were determined from TMI data using the Goddard Profiling (GPROF) Version 5 algorithm. Following the analysis of Ricciardulli and Sardeshmukh (RS), who studied local spatial scales of tropical deep convection using global ...


A hybrid short-term solar power forecasting tool

J. M. Filipe; R. J. Bessa; J. Sumaili; R. Tomé; J. N. Sousa 2015 18th International Conference on Intelligent System Application to Power Systems (ISAP), 2015

Photovoltaic (PV) solar power capacity is growing in several countries, either concentrated in medium/large size solar parks or distributed by the medium and low voltage grid. Solar power forecasting is a key input for supporting grid management, participation in the electricity market and maintenance planning. This paper proposes a new forecasting system that is a hybrid of different models, such ...


More eLearning Resources

IEEE-USA E-Books

  • ShortTerm Utility Planning

    This chapter contains sections titled: Planning and Execution of Dispatch: Day-Ahead Planning Through Real-Time Delivery Day-Ahead Demand Forecasting: Load and Ancillary Service Requirements Least-Cost Dispatch in a Single Control Area: A Simple Model A Solution Using Profit Maximization Least-Cost Dispatch in a Single Control Area with Operating Constraints Least-Cost Dispatch in a Single Node with Spinning Reserve and Regulation Least-Cost Dispatch in a Network Real Time

  • Forecasting pollution

    This chapter contains sections titled: The delimitation of the subject matter, Forecasting air pollution potential, Forecasting urban air pollution concentration, Episode forecasting, Forecasting the concentration of accumulation episodes, Pollution forecasting by the use of frequency distribution patterns, References

  • References

    No abstract.

  • LongTerm Utility Planning

    This chapter contains sections titled: Project Development The Planning Process Long-Term Load Forecasting A Simplified Look at Generation Capacity Additions Generation Additions and Retirements Within a Single Control Area Generation Additions and Retirements with Transmission to a Single Control Area Generation Additions and Retirements and Transmission Additions Within a Network Reserve Requirements

  • ShortTerm Load Forecasting

    The principal objective of short-term load forecasting (STLF) is to provide the load prediction for basic generation scheduling functions, for assessing the security of system operation, and for timely dispatcher information. This chapter presents a discussion of STLF.

  • Arbitrage in Electricity Markets

    This chapter presents arbitrage in the general sense, and then discusses arbitrage opportunities in power markets. The two specific types of arbitrage opportunity that are considered in a power market include same-commodity arbitrage and cross-commodity arbitrage. Cross-commodity arbitrage in a power market is the subject of this chapter and is discussed in detail. Examples are presented to illustrate how arbitrage can be realized in this market.

  • Notes

    Project teams can improve results by recognizing that the future is inevitably uncertain and that by creating flexible designs they can adapt to eventualities. This approach enables them to take advantage of new opportunities and avoid harmful losses. Designers of complex, long-lasting projects--such as communication networks, power plants, or hospitals--must learn to abandon fixed specifications and narrow forecasts. They need to avoid the "flaw of averages," the conceptual pitfall that traps so many designs in underperformance. Failure to allow for changing circumstances risks leaving significant value untapped. This book is a guide for creating and implementing value-enhancing flexibility in design. It will be an essential resource for all participants in the development and operation of technological systems: designers, managers, financial analysts, investors, regulators, and academics. The book provides a high-level overview of why flexibility in design is needed to deliver significantly increased value. It describes in detail methods to identify, select, and implement useful flexibility. The book is unique in that it explicitly recognizes that future outcomes are uncertain. It thus presents forecasting, analysis, and evaluation tools especially suited to this reality. Appendixes provide expanded explanations of concepts and analytic tools.

  • SecurityConstrained Unit Commitment

    This chapter presents a new approach to solve the transmission and voltage security constrained unit commitment (SCUC) problem in a restructured market structure using linear sensitivity factors and Benders decomposition. The inclusion of n-1 contingency constraints in unit commitment ensures the security of the system. The tests on a 3-bus system show the effectiveness of the proposed approach. This chapter also presents formulation considering operating conditions uncertainties (including equipment outages and load variations) and an efficient algorithm. The example of a 3-bus system illustrates the solution procedure.

  • Prefixes

    In Energy at the Crossroads, Vaclav Smil considers the twenty-first century's crucial question: how to reconcile the modern world's unceasing demand for energy with the absolute necessity to preserve the integrity of the biosphere. With this book he offers a comprehensive, accessible guide to today's complex energy issues -- how to think clearly and logically about what is possible and what is desirable in our energy future.After a century of unprecedented production growth, technical innovation, and expanded consumption, the world faces a number of critical energy challenges arising from unequal resource distribution, changing demand patterns, and environmental limitations. The fundamental message of Energy at the Crossroads is that our dependence on fossil fuels must be reduced not because of any imminent resource shortages but because the widespread burning of oil, coal, and natural gas damages the biosphere and presents increasing economic and security problems as the world relies on more expensive supplies and Middle Eastern crude oil.Smil begins with an overview of the twentieth century's long-term trends and achievements in energy production. He then discusses energy prices, the real cost of energy, and "energy linkages" -- the effect energy issues have on the economy, on quality of life, on the environment, and in wartime. He discusses the pitfalls of forecasting, giving many examples of failed predictions and showing that unexpected events can disprove complex models. And he examines the pros and cons not only of fossil fuels but also of alternative fuels such as hydroenergy, biomass energy, wind power, and solar power. Finally, he considers the future, focusing on what really matters, what works, what is realistic, and which outcomes are most d esirable.

  • Appendix A: List of Symbols

    Appendix A lists the symbols used in Chapter 4 (PBUC) and Chapter 8 (SCUC). Definitions are presented.



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